The US economic data had little impact and USD/JPY moves will be dominated by trade developments.
With markets looking for fresh impetus, the US economic data was oflittle importance to traders. The revised reading of the second-quarter GDP came in at 2.0% from the flash reading of 2.1% and in line with consensus forecasts, although consumer spending growth was revised upward.
Initial jobless claims increased to 215,000 from 211,000 previously, also in line with market expectations.
The goods trade deficit narrowed to $72.3bn in July from $74.2bn in the previous month as imports declined slightly on the month.
Treasuries edged lower after the data, but the 10-year yield was trapped below 1.50%.
USD/JPY hit resistance close to 106.40 and retreated to 106.25 with the US currency struggling to take advantage of gains in US equity futures. The overall yield structure will limit potential USD support with Japanese funds wary over funnelling capital overseas.
Trade rhetoric will continue to set the tone in the market in the short term. Although China has confirmed that US and Chinese trade teams have been conversing, it also stated that negotiations in September would be dependent on the right atmosphere to nurture constructive negotiations.
The dollar will get a short-lived boost if it is confirmed that the September negotiations in Washington will take place as scheduled. However, overall sentiment will inevitably remain fragile, especially given the threat of erratic rhetoric from President Trump. Trading volumes will also decline ahead of the US long weekend with Labor Day on Monday.
There will be very tough resistance on any USD/JPY approach to 106.75 with short-term support on approach to 105.70.
在我早上的預測中,我強調了1.3559這個水平,並計劃基於此做出交易決策。讓我們看看5分鐘圖表,看看發生了什麼。
在我上午的預測中,我重點介紹了1.1566這一水平,並計劃根據該水平來做出市場入場決策。讓我們查看5分鐘圖表以了解發生了什麼。
週一,GBP/USD 貨幣對持續上漲。儘管又一次突破上升趨勢線,但對美國美元幫助不大,其中期內持續穩步貶值。
週一,歐元/美元貨幣對延續了周五下半段開始的上升趨勢。然而,多頭第三次未能突破1.1609關口。
在我的早間預測中,我將重點放在1.1566水平,並計劃根據該水平做出交易決策。現在讓我們來看看5分鐘圖,分析那裡發生了什麼。
週五,英鎊/美元貨幣對的走勢幾乎與歐元/美元貨幣對相同。這是因為關鍵因素相同。
週五晚上,歐元/美元匯率經歷了急劇下跌,隨後在當天下半段時間恢復。因此,整個一天可以分為兩個階段。
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