從原油商品資產的 4 小時圖表來看,似乎在不久的將來會有另一波的走弱。這一點得到了 Bearish 123 型態的出現以及 #CL 價格走勢與隨機指標(Stochastic Oscillator)之間背離的確認,這表明 #CL 在不久的將來有可能測試 78.17 水平。如果該水平被成功跌破,那麼 #CL 有可能繼續走弱到 76.75 水平,作為其主要目標。如果勢頭和波動性支持,則 76.21 水平將有可能成為下一個目標。但如果在通往這些目標的過程中,#CL 突然再度增強,尤其是突破 80.13 水平,那麼所有已描述的走弱情境將失效並自動取消。
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昨天的主要事件大體符合我們的預測——特別是預期中的「數字遊戲」發生了。但這項調整做得非常巧妙,恰好足以阻止反美元貨幣的增長。
在日線圖上,英鎊已經在MACD線下方盤整。它本有良好的機會也在1.3635的支撐位下方盤整,但這次嘗試未能成功,略微複雜化了空頭進一步進展的形勢。
天然氣 (NG) 日平衡指標線果斷阻止了昨日的價格飆升——週四以下跌2.63%收盤。此跌幅則被MACD線所限制。
週三,歐元/美元匯率從1.1802水準反彈,向有利於美元的方向逆轉,並顯示出輕微的下跌。然而,到週四早晨,此匯率又回升至1.1802水準。
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