Early in the European session, gold is trading around 2,053.97, above the 21 SMA, and above the 200 EMA. On Friday, the US Treasury yields fell sharply, which favored the strength of gold. So, gold gained strong bullish momentum to break its bearish trend channel formed since December 26.
Last week, we saw that gold sharply broke the downtrend channel, quickly reaching 6/8 Murray around 2,062. From that level, there was a technical correction to enable the metal to test the resistance of 2,040 which has now become a strong support.
Given that gold is showing a bullish signal, it is expected that the price can reach the strong resistance zone of 2,062 in the next few hours, which could be seen as a signal to sell with a target at 2,036.
On the other hand, if gold breaks sharply at 2,062, we could expect there an upward acceleration and the instrument could reach 7/8 Murray at 2,093.
If gold continues to trade above 2,036 (21 SMA) in the coming days, any pullback could be seen as an opportunity to buy with targets at 2,062 and 2,080.
黃金目前保持日內損失。股市的整體樂觀情緒削弱了黃金的需求。
週五,歐元/美元對逆轉至有利於美元並在1.1574的100.0%斐波那契回調水平以下盤整。這並非毫無緣由,接下來我們將進一步探討。
在這對外幣的疲軟狀態中出現牛市123形態,這已通過USD/IDR價格的移動得到確認,該價格在下降斜率的等距通道中移動,但當形成型態並成功突破通道時,加上USD/IDR價格也位於WMA (21)之上,斜率也向上傾斜,並受到目前處於買入交叉狀態的隨機振盪指標條件的支持,那麼在接下來的幾天中,USD/IDR有可能走高並加強,在16374.62的水平將被測試並突破並收於其上。如果成功,USD/IDR將繼續增強至16473.27的水平,如其增長的波動性和動能支持,將推動這對外幣走向16538.46的水平,但如果在達到這些目標的過程中,USD/IDR突然再次走弱,並且突破且收在16149.00水平以下,那麼之前所描述的所有增強情境將失效並自動取消。
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