According to the annual LBMA survey following the conference, participants stated that gold will outperform the precious metals market. However, certain observations and comments during the conference supported silver, evaluating its affordability compared to its fundamental indicators.
As per analysts, despite the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at a restrictive level for most of 2024, geopolitical uncertainty in the coming 12 months will continue to support precious metal prices.
Based on the sentiments expressed at the 2023 Global Precious Metals Conference of the London Bullion Market Association, participants believe that by the next year's conference in Miami, Florida, silver prices will be trading around $26.80 an ounce.
Despite the challenges faced by both gold and silver in 2023, as the Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates, silver managed to maintain substantial growth compared to where prices were during the previous year's conference. Silver prices were around $18.60 an ounce at that time.
Currently, the bullish forecast is driven by the fact that silver is trading around $23 an ounce.
Analysts also noted that industrial demand for silver in the solar sector has provided strong support for the precious metal as investors focus on transitioning to green energy.
According to Phillips Baker, CEO of Hecla Mining, the use of silver in Photovoltaic (PV) solar panels will "drive silver prices higher." The need for Photovoltaic solar panels will stimulate demand in the coming decade.
As for gold, according to the LBMA survey, participants believe that prices will rise to $1990.30 an ounce by the same time next year.
This forecast is based on the ongoing chaos in the Middle East, showing how safe-haven asset demand can influence prices. Gold has risen more than 5% compared to seven-month lows from last month. The gold market, like silver, has established a strong base well above last year's prices.
Alongside the demand for safe-haven assets, gold is also well supported by central bank demand, which reached a record level in the first half of 2023.
上週公佈的英國宏觀經濟數據顯得相當疲弱——所有指標全部在紅區,意思是比預期更差。然而,英鎊依然不顧一切持續上升。
五週前,針對主要貨幣的美元總空頭頭寸停止增加,這讓人有理由相信美元可能會在外匯市場上展開攻勢。然而,最新的CFTC報告顯示這僅僅是一次整固。
今天,英鎊/美元貨幣對正試圖重新獲得正面的動力,同時保持防守態勢。交易者傾向於在推出關鍵數據前等待,再開啟方向性頭寸。
今日,EUR/USD 貨幣對正試圖重新獲得正向動能,並接近心理水準 1.600 及 2021 年以來的價格水準。 交易者熱切期待定於週三的 FOMC 重要政治決策。
整個星期五,歐元/美元貨幣對大幅波動。該貨幣對連續兩天交易時波動率極高,而這是有明顯且合乎邏輯的解釋。
上週最後一個交易日以不確定的基調結束。受中東局勢的影響,EUR/USD 貨幣對在週五大幅下跌,從多年的高點 1.1632 回落。
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