在美國交易時段初期,黃金在自5月23日以來於H1圖表上形成的看跌趨勢通道內交易,價格約在3,306。如果價格持續在21SMA或3,310之下整固,黃金可能在接下來幾小時內繼續看跌循環。
倘若看跌循環持續,我們預計黃金將跌破3,310,並可能到達6/8 Murray線3,281,甚至跌至看跌趨勢通道的底部約3,270。
另一方面,如果價格整固在21SMA以上,前景可能轉為積極,我們可以以3,360的7/8 Murray線為目標進行買入。
為了確認看漲循環,我們應期待突破3,320後,黃金可能繼續上漲並達到3,360,甚至攀升至8/8 Murray的3,437。
Eagle指標顯示負面信號,因此我們認為黃金在未來幾天可能持續下跌,達到3,200左右的水準。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
昨天的主要事件大體符合我們的預測——特別是預期中的「數字遊戲」發生了。但這項調整做得非常巧妙,恰好足以阻止反美元貨幣的增長。
在日線圖上,英鎊已經在MACD線下方盤整。它本有良好的機會也在1.3635的支撐位下方盤整,但這次嘗試未能成功,略微複雜化了空頭進一步進展的形勢。
天然氣 (NG) 日平衡指標線果斷阻止了昨日的價格飆升——週四以下跌2.63%收盤。此跌幅則被MACD線所限制。
週三,歐元/美元匯率從1.1802水準反彈,向有利於美元的方向逆轉,並顯示出輕微的下跌。然而,到週四早晨,此匯率又回升至1.1802水準。
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