歐元在美國非農就業數據發布後下跌,該數據超出預期。這一數據發布前,歐元在1.1798左右交易,進入到8/8 Murray區域附近,大約在1.1715。
這一8/8 Murray所在的區域代表著強支撐,因為歐元在六月最後一週持續整固,現在被視為買入點。
歐元觸及1.1715的低點,並從這一區域強勢技術反彈。我們認為,如果EUR/USD達到21SMA或下行通道的頂部,大約在1.1795,將視為未來幾日的賣出信號。
自6月30日以來,鷹指標一直給出負面信號,因此我們的策略仍將保持看跌。只要歐元停留在1.1795以下,我們會繼續賣出歐元,並認為它在未來幾天內可能繼續下跌。
因此,只要價格在1.1840的+1/8 Murray以下交易,任何技術反彈都將被視為賣出信號。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
在小時圖上,週四英鎊/美元在76.4%回撤位1.3482反彈,使其能夠繼續上升至100.0%斐波納契水平1.3586。若從該水平再次反彈,將增加進一步上升的可能性。
趨勢分析(圖 1)。 週五,從 1.3508 水平(昨日每日收盤)的起點,市場可能開始下行,目標為 1.3486——23.6% 回撤位(黃色虛線)。
趨勢分析(如圖1)。 週五,市場可能從1.1682(昨日的日收盤價)開始下滑,目標是1.1647——即21日EMA(細黑線)。
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