28.03.2025 05:01 AM昨天，Donald Trump 簽署了一項行政命令，對所有進口到美國的汽車及其零部件加徵25%的關稅。汽車的關稅將於4月3日生效，而零部件的關稅將於5月3日開始實施。受此消息影響，日元貶值了0.18%，今天亞洲交易時段，日經225指數下跌了2.14%。隨著日經225指數的走低，我們預計美元/日元（USD/JPY）匯率將下跌，這一貨幣對部分維持其作為"避險"資產的地位，以及隨著資本回流日本，儘管步伐緩慢，但投資者正在穩步撤離美國國債。
在日線圖上，價格已接近38.2%斐波那契回檔位，與目標151.30相吻合。Marlin指標已準備反轉，價格可能回到支撐位149.38。若在此水平以下鞏固，將開啟向145.91的下行通路。若在151.30之上鞏固，則只會將當前的看跌情境轉移到50.0%斐波那契水平（152.70），而 Kijun 線正接近該水平。只有在 Kijun 線之上突破，才能創造另一種情境，最初目標為 154.56 的上升潛力。
在H4圖表上，Marlin振盪器的信號線形成了一個寬闊而延伸的楔形，這表明可能會向下突破。若跌破Kijun線和150.16水平（3月19日的高點），將確認突破並目標指向149.38。
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