08.05.2025 05:09 AM在今天的會議上，英格蘭銀行預計將把基準利率從4.50%降至4.25%。商業媒體宣稱市場已經將此事件計入並已平靜下來。然而，我們對此說法持懷疑態度：自4月7日的當地低點以來，歐元已上漲3.96%，而英鎊的漲幅甚至更大，達4.72%。因此，如果英鎊繼續上漲，則將是因為不同的原因，而這本身就帶來風險。
技術上來說，在日線圖上，價格試圖維持在1.3311水平之上，但目前尚未成功，因此下滑至1.3184–1.3208目標區間的可能性依然很大。進一步下降至1.3101也是可能的，MACD線逼近於此。這個增強水平可能會作為中期看漲反轉的基礎。
從純技術的角度來看，上漲情景依然有利。如果價格突破價格通道的上邊界1.3465，在較平靜的市場環境下，可能會繼續上漲，並追隨更廣泛的風險偏好情緒。下一個目標位於1.3635，即2022年1月至2月的阻力區。
目前尚未確認價格增長，但早期跡象已經顯現。這其中包括突破1.3311，突破平衡線（紅色移動平均線）以及Marlin振盪指標進入正值區域。若突破約1.3383的MACD線，將釋放英鎊的上行潛力。
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