09.05.2025 05:55 AM昨日來自德國的數據超出預期。三月份的工業生產增加了3.0%，而此前預測為0.9%，二月份則下降了1.3%。三月份的貿易順差達到211億歐元，高於預測的190億歐元。股市的風險偏好依然強勁，S&P 500指數上漲了0.58%。然而，歐元下跌了75個基點。儘管美國與英國貿易協議的細節尚未敲定，但這一消息導致了歐元的下跌。
然而，這一發展並不改變價格從4月21日高點修正的本質——它只是加深了修正。展望未來，預計歐洲貨幣將與風險偏好情緒一致。歐元的下跌不太可能跌破1.1110-1.1150的支撐區，因為該區域得到MACD線的支撐，而該線將於下週一從下方進入該區間。我們預計歐元將在下週初反轉進入新一波的增長。
在四小時圖中，趨勢維持完全看跌。價格走勢在下降的均衡線和MACD線下方展開，Marlin振盪器在下行運動中發展。我們預計價格將測試目標支撐區，並且逆轉信號可能會在週一或週二出現。
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