在近期從1.3415水平反彈後,英鎊/美元貨幣對吸引了新的賣家,這是因為美元略有增值。
然而,今天進一步下跌的潛力似乎有限,因為交易者正在等待美國個人消費支出(PCE)物價指數的發布。今天的市場重新定位幫助美元在週四的急劇回落後重新獲得積極動能,對英鎊/美元施加壓力。儘管如此,對美聯儲於2025年降息的預期以及對美國財政前景的擔憂可能限制美元漲幅。與此同時,有關英格蘭銀行將在6月18日的下一次會議上維持利率不變的預測可能為英鎊提供支持。
從技術角度來看,特別是相對強弱指數(RSI),小時圖的振盪指標正獲得負面動能,確認進一步日內下跌的可能性。然而,此回撤可能在1.3425-1.3415區間帶來買入機會。跌破此區域可能引發技術性賣壓,為更深的損失鋪路。
另一方面,多頭需要等待在心理1.3500水平以上的持續力度和接受度,然後才考慮開新多單。突破此水平可能打開通往下一關鍵阻力位1.3552,隨後是1.3600整數位置的道路。在這一水平以上買入可能成為多頭的新推動力。即使是每日圖上的振盪指標仍保持在積極領域,這表明長期上升趨勢仍然完好無損。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
週三,英鎊成功避免跌破技術支撐位,並自該處反轉向上。價格從日線圖上的MACD指標線回升,同時Marlin震盪指標從其上升通道的下邊界向上轉折。
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