美元/日元
今天早上,東京的核心CPI數據顯示6月的通脹估值有所下降:核心指數從按年計算的3.6%下降到3.1%(預測為3.3%),而整體指數為按年計算的3.1%,相比5月的3.4%。最新數據減弱了投資者對日本央行強烈承諾加息的信心,也減緩了昨日日圓的升值趨勢。
然而,這種放緩的情況似乎是短暫的。Marlin 振盪器已經轉至負值區域,並且在最近幾天,價格已經成功突破平衡線支撐位(紅色移動平均線),逐漸增加了對拋售美元的興趣。若跌破昨日的低點 143.77——一個在 2024 年就已是重要水平的位置,將打開通往目標區間 142.13-142.40 的道路。再往下則可能測試 MACD 線在 141.50 的位置。
在四小時圖上,最新的推動性下跌開始於價格從MACD線回落時,同時Marlin振盪器也從零線向下轉。這些時刻以箭頭標出。MACD線已經向下轉。整體趨勢仍然是看跌,我們預計這一趨勢將持續發展。
歐元在美聯儲會議前設法將其整合區間擴展至日線 MACD 線。昨天相關的1.1692水平現在已經無效。
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