週一,市場可能會繼續從1.3719水平(週五的日線收盤價)下行,目標是位於1.3675的23.6%回撤水平(黃色虛線)。到達該水平後,價格可能會反彈上行,指向位於1.3711的14.6%回撤水平(黃色虛線)。
圖1(日線圖)
總體結論:看跌趨勢
替代情境:從1.3719水平(週五的日收盤)起,價格可能會繼續下跌至1.3675的23.6%回撤水平(黃色虛線)。如果該水平被突破,則可能進一步下跌至1.3616的38.2%回撤水平(黃色虛線)。
週四,歐元兌美元(EUR/USD)匯率橫盤整理。歐洲中央銀行(ECB)會議的結果幾乎沒有影響市場情緒,而會議本身也沒有特別的事件發生。
由於英國面臨的經濟情勢艱難,英鎊持續承受壓力。最新的經濟數據證實了這一點,這自然影響了市場對英鎊的需求。
在最後一刻,歐元放鬆了緊張情緒,放棄嘗試重新測試價格通道的上限。當日收盤價低於日線MACD線,Marlin振蕩器即將進入負值區域。
英鎊未能克服日平衡線的壓力。昨日價格下跌了69個基點,且這一跌勢延續至今天早晨。
美元/日圓貨幣對正顯示出強勁的上升趨勢。在從146.29的支撐位反彈後,價格現正向最近的目標149.38邁進。
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