本週,價格可能從1.3719水平(上週週線收盤價)開始下跌,目標是1.3620——23.6%回撤水平(紅色虛線)。在測試該水平後,價格可能反彈向上至1.3677——14.6%回撤水平(紅色虛線)。
圖1(週線圖)
綜合分析結論:下行趨勢
價格很可能在本週呈現下降趨勢,週線黑K線沒有上影線(表明週一將下跌),並在週五帶有下影線(表明週末可能會反彈)。
從1.3719水平(上週收盤價),價格可能開始下行至1.3591 - 歷史支撐水平(藍色虛線)。達到此水平後,可能反彈至1.3677 - 14.6%回撤水平(紅色虛線)。
週四,歐元兌美元(EUR/USD)匯率橫盤整理。歐洲中央銀行(ECB)會議的結果幾乎沒有影響市場情緒,而會議本身也沒有特別的事件發生。
由於英國面臨的經濟情勢艱難,英鎊持續承受壓力。最新的經濟數據證實了這一點,這自然影響了市場對英鎊的需求。
在最後一刻,歐元放鬆了緊張情緒,放棄嘗試重新測試價格通道的上限。當日收盤價低於日線MACD線,Marlin振蕩器即將進入負值區域。
英鎊未能克服日平衡線的壓力。昨日價格下跌了69個基點,且這一跌勢延續至今天早晨。
美元/日圓貨幣對正顯示出強勁的上升趨勢。在從146.29的支撐位反彈後,價格現正向最近的目標149.38邁進。
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