03.07.2025 12:13 PM
連續幾天，一再接近本周早些時候達到的年度高點。美國和越南之間的貿易協議減輕了對長期貿易衝突的擔憂，增加了投資者對更高風險資產的興趣。此外，日本央行關於退出其長期超寬鬆貨幣政策的謹慎立場減少了日元作為避險貨幣的吸引力。這些因素為貨幣對的上升提供了有利的環境。
同時，由於歐洲央行的相對低調言論及美元的適度走強，歐元難以吸引買家。歐洲央行官員已確認該行接近結束寬鬆周期，儘管進一步降息的可能性仍然存在。這與對日本央行政策路徑更為鷹派的預期形成鮮明對比。
日本央行董事會成員高田一道週四表示，央行只是暫時停止加息，計劃在觀察一段時間後恢復緊縮。隨著日本通脹上升的跡象，這為進一步加息留下了空間，這可能限制日元的貶值並對限制 EUR/JPY 貨幣對的上升潛力。
市場看到歐元區服務業PMI的最終數據發布，結果積極。儘管這些數據對歐元的影響有限，但仍支持持續六月看到的強勁上漲趨勢的預期。
從技術角度來看，交叉匯率在突破年度新高前正處於盤整階段。這從振盪指標中顯而易見，這些指標正徘徊在超買區域附近。
下表顯示了今天日元兌主要貨幣的百分比變動。
日元對紐幣表現出最強勢。
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