empty
26.08.2019 09:10 AM
Trump is now enemy of US dollar

China announced retaliation against US companies on Friday with the US Administration, in turn, announcing a further increase in tariffs on Chinese exports after the market close.

Fears over the US economy increased sharply with the impact of tariffs amplified by Trump's rhetoric in ordering US companies to pull out of China.

Trump also launched another attack on the Federal Reserve in general with Chair Powell a particular target. The dollar fell sharply late on Friday and losses extended at Monday's Asian open with USD/JPY posting 2019 lows close to 104.50.

US Treasuries rallied sharply with the 10-year yield sliding to fresh 3-year lows below 1.45% while the 2 and 10-year bonds yield curve inverted once again.

There was an element of moderation in language in Asia on Monday with Trump indicating that he did not want US companies to pull out of China while Beijing attempted to ease tensions with hopes for dialogue.

USD/JPY then rallied sharply to above 105.80 after Trump stated that China wants to return to the negotiating table and that a deal is possible.

Overall confidence will remain extremely fragile in the short term. Trump's increasingly erratic rhetoric will deter longer-term fund managers from taking positions which will increase the influence of speculative players. There will also be very quick moves to liquidate positions.

This effect will be amplified by a seasonal lack of volatility during the peak European and US holiday season.

Trump will see lower interest rates as vital to support the economy and attacks on the Fed will continue. The yuan slide will also draw strong criticism from the White House and the possibility of direct intervention to weaken the US currency.

The potential use of emergency powers to stop US companies operating in China will also have an important negative US economic impact and undermine the dollar. A key tipping point is likely to have been reached with Trump causing long-term damage.

Rhetoric from Trump and Chinese officials will be watched closely, although it will be equally important to watch any comments from key moderate Administration officials such as Treasury Secretary Mnuchin.

The response from US congressional leaders will also be important, especially key Republican officials, and there is a much greater risk of moves to remove Trump from office.

This image is no longer relevant

Tim Clayton,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair is showing a modest recovery from levels below 1.3600, retracing most of the previous day's losses, supported by a rebound in the U.S. dollar. In addition, concerns

Irina Yanina 13:09 2025-06-13 UTC+2

AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The AUD/JPY pair has been under selling pressure for the third consecutive day, reaching an almost two-week low around 92.30 during Friday's Asian session. After a sharp drop, spot prices

Irina Yanina 12:53 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Israeli Missile Strike on Iran Will Crash Global Markets (I Expect Bitcoin and #NDX to Resume Their Decline After a Local Upward Correction)

As I anticipated, the lack of a broad positive outcome in negotiations between China and the U.S. and renewed inflationary pressure led to a sharp decline in demand for corporate

Pati Gani 10:10 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Greed Will Do the Market No Good

The less you know, the better you sleep. Encouraged by a 21% rally in the S&P 500 from its April lows, the crowd continues to buy the dip—completely unbothered

Marek Petkovich 09:35 2025-06-13 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 13? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday, but we doubt that the data will significantly impact traders today—especially today. As a reminder, Donald Trump intends to raise tariffs

Paolo Greco 07:16 2025-06-13 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 13: The Court Won't Stop Donald Trump!

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday and nearly updated its three-year high. For most of the day, quotes hovered around the 1.36 level

Paolo Greco 03:41 2025-06-13 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 13: America's Economy Gets Lucky

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its strong upward movement throughout Thursday. Is anyone still puzzled as to why the U.S. dollar keeps falling? From our point of view, the reasons

Paolo Greco 03:41 2025-06-13 UTC+2

Trump Sends Out "Letters of Happiness"

It has been less than two weeks since Donald Trump raised import tariffs on steel and aluminum for all countries except the UK. While negotiations with the UK were deemed

Chin Zhao 00:21 2025-06-13 UTC+2

GBP/USD. A Weak Pound Stronger Than a Weak Greenback

Following weak UK labor market data, equally soft figures on British economic growth were released on Thursday. Almost all components of the report came out in the "red zone," increasing

Irina Manzenko 00:20 2025-06-13 UTC+2

The Dollar Flees the Battlefield

The old becomes new again. The word "recession" again trended in the Forex and other financial markets. May's U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell short of Bloomberg analysts' forecasts. Following

Marek Petkovich 00:20 2025-06-13 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.