empty
04.07.2025 08:23 AM
S&P, Nasdaq, Dow rally as markets react to jobs, trade policy surprises

This image is no longer relevant

Wall Street Climbs to New Heights

On Thursday, U.S. markets soared to fresh record closes, as investors shrugged off slim hopes of a near-term rate cut and found confidence in a surprisingly strong U.S. jobs report. Meanwhile, Nvidia's meteoric rise continued, inching the chipmaker closer to a historic valuation milestone.

Nvidia Inches Toward Market Valuation History

Shares of Nvidia rose by 1.3%, boosting the company's market cap to $3.89 trillion. At this pace, Nvidia may soon surpass Apple to become the most valuable publicly traded company in history.

Jobs Report Exceeds Forecasts

June's employment data offered a strong dose of optimism. The U.S. economy added 147,000 nonfarm jobs — beating economists' forecasts by 33%. Unemployment dropped to 4.1%, better than the expected 4.3%, reinforcing confidence in economic resilience.

Short Session, Strong Momentum

Despite a shortened trading day ahead of the Independence Day holiday, market momentum remained strong, pushing key indices to fresh highs.

Market closing figures:

  • S&P 500: up 51.94 points (0.83%) to 6279.36;
  • Nasdaq Composite: up 207.97 points (1.02%) to 20601.10;
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: up 344.11 points (0.77%) to 44828.53.

July Rate Cut Less Likely, Say Traders

Market participants have swiftly adjusted their expectations: a rate cut from the Federal Reserve in July now seems less likely. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point cut in September dropped to 68 percent, down from 74 percent just a week ago.

Trump Tax Bill Clears House

After the closing bell, House Republicans gave the green light to former President Donald Trump's sweeping proposal to slash both taxes and federal spending — a widely anticipated outcome.

However, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office warned that the bill would add 3.4 trillion dollars to the national debt, which currently stands at 36.2 trillion. Additionally, millions of Americans could lose their health insurance under the new fiscal plan.

Tripadvisor and Datadog Rally on News

Tripadvisor shares jumped 16.7 percent after the Wall Street Journal reported that activist investor Starboard Value acquired more than 9 percent of the travel platform's stock.

Datadog saw an even bigger leap — up 14.9 percent — following news that the cloud security company will replace Juniper Networks in the S&P 500 index.

Light Trading Ahead of the Holiday

Markets closed early at 1 p.m. Eastern Time. Trading volume across U.S. exchanges was light, totaling 10.85 billion shares — well below the 20-day average of 17.82 billion.

Asia Shows Caution as Wall Street Hits Records

Asian stock markets ended Friday with mixed results, as investors turned cautious despite record highs on Wall Street the day before. With the deadline for U.S. trade agreements approaching next week, uncertainty weighed on regional sentiment.

Dollar Rebounds While U.S. Markets Pause

The U.S. dollar regained some of its earlier momentum from Thursday, as American markets entered a week-long break. Traders are now watching closely as President Trump prepares to sign a sweeping spending bill with significant economic implications.

Japan Gains, Rest of Asia Pulls Back

Asian markets responded unevenly. Japan's Nikkei index edged up by 0.3 percent following an early session marked by volatility.

Elsewhere in the region:

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.3 percent;
  • Mainland China's CSI300 dipped slightly;
  • Taiwan lost its early lead and closed 0.2 percent lower;
  • South Korea's KOSPI dropped by more than 1 percent.

Massive Spending Bill Clears House, Adds to Debt

Late Thursday, the House of Representatives narrowly passed President Trump's extensive fiscal bill, spanning 869 pages. According to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, the legislation will raise the national debt by 3.4 trillion dollars, bringing the total to 36.2 trillion.

Trade Moves Ahead of July Deadline

President Trump also announced plans to send formal letters to trading partners outlining updated tariff rates, as existing deals remain unresolved ahead of the July 9 deadline.

He expressed optimism about reaching more trade agreements in the coming days. Following a finalized deal with Vietnam earlier this week, the U.S. currently has only two framework agreements in place — with China and the United Kingdom — which remain the sole confirmed outcomes of his current trade agenda.

India Deal Close, but Asian Trade Talks Stumble

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced earlier this week that a trade agreement with India is nearing completion. Meanwhile, negotiations with Japan and South Korea — once celebrated by the White House as early wins — now appear to be falling apart, raising doubts about their future inclusion in Washington's trade agenda.

Job Market Surprises with Resilience

Thursday's employment report defied expectations, painting a picture of a stronger-than-expected U.S. economy. Analyst Sycamore noted, "The data shows the economy is holding up far better than most anticipated, and that suggests markets could easily continue their upward path from here."

Rate Cut Hopes Fade Fast

The robust labor market data prompted traders to abandon expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month. Optimism about monetary easing has effectively evaporated — at least in the short term.

Dollar Strengthens, Then Softens

The U.S. dollar gained ground against a basket of major currencies on Thursday, rising as much as 0.7 percent before paring back to close the session up 0.4 percent.

By Friday morning, the greenback had pulled back slightly:

  • down 0.2 percent to 144.62 yen;
  • off 0.1 percent to 0.7942 Swiss francs.

Elsewhere in currencies:

  • the euro inched up 0.1 percent to 1.1766 dollars;
  • the British pound held steady at 1.3650 dollars.

Modest Gains in Gold and Oil

Gold prices edged up 0.1 percent, reaching 3329.54 dollars per ounce.

Oil futures showed slight increases:

  • Brent crude rose by 1 cent to 68.81 dollars per barrel;
  • U.S. West Texas Intermediate gained 3 cents to 67.03 dollars per barrel.
Thomas Frank,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise on Fed rate expectations

Indices up: Dow Jones - 1.04%, S&P 500 - 0.32%, Nasdaq - 0.14% Traders fully priced in Fed's 25 basis point rate cut in September European stocks hit two-week high

Thomas Frank 12:00 2025-08-14 UTC+2

Energy commodities under spotlight

A new wave of market volatility has swept across global trading floors, as investors worldwide closely monitor fluctuations in energy prices—particularly oil and natural gas—alongside fresh assessments from leading analytical

Natalia Andreeva 15:03 2025-08-13 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for August 13

US stock indices, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, posted strong gains following the release of inflation data, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:46 2025-08-13 UTC+2

43,000 and beyond: Nikkei hits record, Wall Street gears up for new gains

The MSCI All Country World Index reached a record high. The Euro STOXX 600 Index rose by 0.5%. US inflation data came in below expectations, easing concerns over stagflation

12:10 2025-08-13 UTC+2

43,000 and Above: Nikkei Rewrites History as Wall Street Prepares for New Gains

MSCI All Country World Index Hits Record High Euro STOXX 600 Index Up 0.5% US Inflation Data Below Expectations, Easing Stagflation Fears Fed Rate Cut Expected, Boosting Wall Street, Asian

Thomas Frank 11:51 2025-08-13 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for August 12

On August 11, US stock indices ended the session with slight losses. Yet, investor optimism improved following Donald Trump's statements on resuming chip supplies to China and extending the trade

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:17 2025-08-12 UTC+2

Markets in wait-and-see mode: inflation figures, leaders' meeting take center stage

Wall Street stocks ended the day in the red. Traders of dollars and bonds are awaiting the release of US consumer price data. Oil prices are trading flat ahead

11:10 2025-08-12 UTC+2

Markets on hold: What will inflation data and leaders' meeting decide?

Wall Street shares ended lower amid a volatile trading session. The dollar and bonds await the publication of data on the US consumer price index Oil prices are trading unchanged

Thomas Frank 11:07 2025-08-12 UTC+2

Bitcoin's roller coaster: defeat after victory and another attempt to grow. Grimaces of volatility and bullish forecast for S&P 500

The flagship cryptocurrency opened the day with an attempt to recover, seeking to offset its recent decline. Bitcoin has now joined the crypto race, competing with Ethereum, which is also

Larisa Kolesnikova 10:48 2025-08-12 UTC+2

Bitcoin's rally, 8 underestimated altcoins, and positive news from US crypto market

Rapid changes continue to sweep through the cryptocurrency market: Bitcoin is once again approaching its all-time highs, key altcoins are posting confident gains, and investors are exploring new profit opportunities

Natalia Andreeva 14:31 2025-08-11 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.