empty
04.12.2024 01:28 PM
USD/JPY: Positive Dynamics of the USD/JPY Pair Does Not Equal a Positive Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the USD/JPY pair is gaining strong positive momentum, supported by a rebound from the 148.60 level, which is its lowest level since October 11th. However, the potential for growth seems limited.

It seems that investors are convinced that the Federal Reserve will take a more cautious approach to lowering interest rates, amid expectations that the policies of newly elected US President Donald Trump will lead to rising inflation. Such expectations are driving US Treasury yields higher. This is a key factor pulling funds away from the low-yielding Japanese yen, supporting the US dollar, and providing additional momentum for the USD/JPY pair.

However, dollar bulls are hesitant to open aggressive positions, preferring to wait for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech to gather more information on the future path of interest rate cuts. Additionally, according to the CPI – November's consumer price index for Tokyo, published last week – it is clear that core inflation is picking up, fueling speculation that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again in December. This is helping to limit further upside for the USD/JPY pair.

Traders should watch for the release of the US ADP report on private sector employment for potential trading opportunities. However, the main focus should be on the official monthly employment data or Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which will guide the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. This, in turn, will stimulate demand for the US dollar and determine the short-term trajectory of the USD/JPY pair.

From a technical standpoint, oscillators on the daily chart have not yet left negative territory, suggesting caution before opening new positions.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. What Does the U.S. CPI Report Indicate?

Traders of the EUR/USD pair interpreted the U.S. CPI report in favor of the U.S. dollar, despite the release being somewhat mixed. The report reflected an acceleration in both headline

Irina Manzenko 00:03 2025-07-16 UTC+2

Trump Misleads Again—and Loses

Over the past few months, Trump has repeatedly criticized the Federal Reserve for its reluctance to cut interest rates. According to the U.S. President, such a high rate (4.5%)

Chin Zhao 00:03 2025-07-16 UTC+2

The Dollar Launches a Witch Hunt

Everyone gets what they want. Supporters of the U.S. dollar are pleased that American inflation accelerated in June, leaving the Federal Reserve with no grounds to cut the federal funds

Marek Petkovich 00:02 2025-07-16 UTC+2

Pressure on the Pound Is Mounting

Incoming macroeconomic data from the UK appears distinctly weak. GDP unexpectedly declined by 0.1% in May instead of the forecasted 0.1% growth. The trade balance deficit exceeded expectations, industrial production

Kuvat Raharjo 00:02 2025-07-16 UTC+2

AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, Tuesday, during the European session, the AUD/JPY pair reached the round level of 97.00. The yen continues to show relative weakness amid growing expectations that the Bank of Japan

Irina Yanina 12:44 2025-07-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair is gaining positive momentum, recovering from more than two weeks of declines triggered by Trump's threat to impose new tariffs. On Saturday, Trump announced plans

Irina Yanina 12:30 2025-07-15 UTC+2

The European Union Finalizes Second List of Countermeasures

The European Union has finalized its second list of countermeasures against U.S. goods, totaling 72 billion euros. This step comes in response to the ongoing trade tensions between

Jakub Novak 11:25 2025-07-15 UTC+2

Trump's Actions Alarm Germany

While the euro remains relatively stable, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is not feeling as confident. In a recent interview, he stated that U.S. President Donald Trump's threat to impose 30%

Jakub Novak 11:11 2025-07-15 UTC+2

Rising Inflation in the U.S. Will Decrease the Likelihood of Fed Rate Cuts (Possible Resumption of USD/CAD and Bitcoin Growth)

While President Donald Trump continues playing his favorite game called "Make America Great Again," market participants are calculating the cost of U.S. trade wars with nearly the entire world

Pati Gani 09:58 2025-07-15 UTC+2

The Market Will Break Out of Its Cage

Deep down, markets still believe tariffs could become an inflationary force. However, without confirmation from official data, investors are not ready to sell the S&P 500. They've grown accustomed

Marek Petkovich 09:14 2025-07-15 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.