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17.06.2025 01:25 PM
Tensions in the US stock market are rising as the conflict between Israel and Iran intensifies. Analysts warn that a potential full-scale war could trigger a 20% drop in the S&P 500.
Such a scenario would deal a severe blow to the economy, particularly the consumer sector, and heighten risks of capital flight from US assets. Investors are increasingly seeking safe havens, including gold and US Treasuries.
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US index futures dipped following Donald Trump's morning comments urging the evacuation of citizens from Tehran. Despite yesterday's gains, investors remain wary of a deepening Middle East crisis.
Concerns center on potential oil price spikes and supply disruptions, which could destabilize the global economy. Markets are showing heightened sensitivity to political rhetoric.
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US stocks extended gains as investors locked in profits ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. The S&P 500 and other major indices climbed despite lingering geopolitical pressures.
While optimism persists, volatility remains elevated as markets remain hypersensitive to any signals on the future path of the US central bank's monetary policy. The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady, but the tone of its guidance could prove pivotal.
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Investors are cautiously awaiting fresh retail sales data, a key metric for the Fed's interest rate decisions, while rising tensions in Iran threaten to fuel market swings.
A new wave of instability could trigger either a sharp sell-off or a shift in policymakers' tactics. Any deviation from consumer spending forecasts could swiftly alter market sentiment.
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