empty
02.07.2025 11:58 AM
USD/CHF. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The USD/CHF pair continues to trade within a narrow range above the 0.7900 level, remaining close to price levels last seen in 2011.

The US dollar is showing some gains following a modest rebound from a three-year low observed yesterday.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, a positive risk sentiment persists, which supports the status of the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency and restrains traders from taking aggressive bearish positions in the USD/CHF pair.

However, a significant dollar rally appears unlikely against the backdrop of growing expectations for the Federal Reserve to resume its interest rate cutting cycle in the near future. Additional pressure on the dollar comes from concerns over the deteriorating fiscal position of the US, which limits attempts at dollar strengthening and, accordingly, upward movement in the USD/CHF pair.

Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank's more hawkish stance disappointed investors who were counting on a return to negative interest rates this year. This supports bullish sentiment among traders buying the Swiss franc and, given the weak fundamental backdrop for the US dollar, points to a downward trend for the USD/CHF pair.

Today, traders should pay attention to the release of the US ADP private sector employment report, which could set the tone during the North American session. However, the key event will be Thursday's release of the NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which could significantly impact the dollar and the USD/CHF pair.

From a technical standpoint, oscillators on the daily chart remain in negative territory and are in the oversold zone. Therefore, a modest pullback or consolidation is possible in the near term before the pair resumes its downward movement.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

EUR/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Uncertainty over a Bank of Japan rate hike and hopes for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine undermine the yen. Today, Tuesday, for the second

Irina Yanina 19:50 2025-08-19 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Diverging expectations for Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve policy support the low-yielding yen, while hopes for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine limit the safe-haven yen's advance

Irina Yanina 19:33 2025-08-19 UTC+2

Gold Prices Remain Nearly Unchanged

Gold prices were little changed as traders assessed U.S. efforts to end the military conflict in Ukraine while counting down to the Federal Reserve's annual meeting in Jackson Hole. Investors

Jakub Novak 10:57 2025-08-19 UTC+2

What Could Help the Pound Return to Growth

The British pound is losing ground even though money market expectations are rising that the Bank of England will keep interest rates at 4% until the end of the year

Jakub Novak 10:52 2025-08-19 UTC+2

The Market is Frozen at the Top. Will it Break Down?

Expectations of a September Federal Reserve rate cut and strong corporate earnings are the two key drivers keeping the S&P 500 near record highs. Aggregate earnings per share rose 11%

Marek Petkovich 10:18 2025-08-19 UTC+2

Markets Shift Focus to Powell's Speech in Jackson Hole (Possible Resumption of Growth in Bitcoin and Gold Prices)

While geopolitics remains at the center of market attention—namely the upcoming summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday, as well as yesterday's visit

Pati Gani 09:39 2025-08-19 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on August 19? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Tuesday, but all of them are secondary. In the U.S., reports on building permits and housing starts will be released. We believe these reports

Paolo Greco 07:03 2025-08-19 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – August 19: Jerome Powell's Simplest Speech

The GBP/USD currency pair was practically immobilized on Friday and Monday. Volatility was low, and the calendar of macroeconomic and fundamental events remained empty. We assumed that negotiations between

Paolo Greco 04:15 2025-08-19 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – August 19: The Dollar Remains Under Heavy Fire

The EUR/USD currency pair traded in an ultra-calm manner on Monday, just as it did on Friday. Despite global-scale events in Alaska, the market continues to behave extremely quietly, reacting

Paolo Greco 04:15 2025-08-19 UTC+2

Powell Will Define the Fed's Main Goal. Part 2

What choice does Jerome Powell face, and what can influence it? The U.S. Consumer Price Index is rising. The growth is still moderate, but it is already almost

Chin Zhao 01:05 2025-08-19 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.